WHY GOV. BIODUN ABAYOMI OYEBANJI WILL ENJOY A LANDSLIDE VICTORY DURING APC PRIMARY.
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I should begin by noting that predicting outcomes of internal party primaries can be very uncertain. However, I can outline reasons and factors often cited in the media and by party observers as strengthening Governor Biodun Abayomi Oyebanji’s chances in the APC primary in Ekiti. Let's use these as possible advantages.
Here are some of the arguments and factors favoring Oyebanji:
Key arguments favoring Oyebanji
1. Incumbency and Participating in party affairs.
As the sitting governor, Oyebanji has access to state structures, patronage, and networks. That often gives an incumbent leverage in influencing delegate selection and ward-level support.
He has been active in positioning himself publicly as confident and ready for the contest.
2. Clearance by the screening committee.
The APC screening panel has formally cleared him for the primary.
In contrast, some rival aspirants (notably Kayode Ojo) were granted only provisional clearance, pending further review.
That gives Oyebanji an early institutional advantage, reducing legal/qualification vulnerabilities.
3. Support from party stakeholders and endorsements.
Prominent party figures have expressed confidence in his candidacy. For example, former Rep. Bimbo Daramola has publicly stated that Oyebanji will win, citing his governance style and party unity.
Reports suggest that he enjoys backing from various parts of the party across the state.
4. Messaging around peace and non-violence.
Oyebanji has emphasized a peaceful approach and warned against violence by agents, which appeals to party moderates and delegates who may fear disruption or negative publicity.
Positioning himself as someone who does not foment internal conflict may help him among undecided or cautious delegates.
5. Track record / perceived performance.
Supporters point to his achievements in infrastructure, education, health, rural development, and governance reforms as a basis for re-election support.
Because he is the incumbent, his record (real or perceived) is focal: if many in APC believe he has delivered or can deliver, that works in his favor.
6. Control of internal reviews and delegate selection process.
Clearing by the screening panel suggests he is less susceptible to disqualification challenges, which can erode or delay rival campaigns.
The timing and structure of primaries (direct or indirect) might favor those with existing reach and structure — typically incumbents or strong insiders.
7. Union of continuity and party realpolitik.
The APC may prefer continuity and less internal fracturing ahead of the general election. Granting the ticket to the sitting governor might be seen as less risky.
Party leaders often avoid throwing out incumbents unless their popularity is highly damaged.
🌟 *Best-Case Scenario for Oyebanji
1. Strong Delegate Control.
Majority of ward and local government delegates rally behind him, thanks to incumbency advantage and party machinery.
Screening clearance (full, not provisional) sets him apart as the “safe” and “legal” candidate.
2. Unified Party Leadership.
Key APC stakeholders (former governors, lawmakers, party executives) close ranks to avoid division.
Endorsements continue, creating a “bandwagon effect.”
3. Performance Narrative Works
His administration’s achievements in infrastructure, health, education, and rural development are seen as solid enough to justify continuity.
Delegates and stakeholders believe he is the best positioned to retain APC’s control in the general election.
4. Rivals Weakened
Rivals like Kayode Ojo face legal or organizational hurdles due to provisional clearance.
Intra-party opposition struggles to mobilize enough grassroots strength.
Result: BAO Lekan si, BAO till 2030 is guaranteed.
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